FOCUS 1.1 MISE EN PERSPECTIVE AVEC LES ÉVOLUTIONS RÉGLEMENTAIRES   1. Un premier recours aux notations en pleine dépression des années 1930 –          11 Septembre 1931 : 1ère réglementation intégrant les agences de notation à l’initiative de l’OCC (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, principale instance de réglementation américaine à l’époque) Toute banque américaine doit […]

What kind of knowledge? Against Linearity Science or Intuition? Foxes or Hedgehogs? A technique? The Delphi method Google From which discipline? History Information Markets Management Studies Nobel Economics Sociology Futures as a field?

The Greeks, the Romans, the Egyptians or the Etruscans used oracles as as go-between, they would reveal the Gods’ intentions to the mortals. Oracles performed other diverse roles which were highly contextualized, they are one of the finest examples of the many imbrications of power and knowledge. Augustin Bouché-Leclerc, Histoire de la divination dans l’antiquité, […]

Those who want to predict what the world’s future will be are engaged in a debate on the future of US power. The recent NIC 2025 report has predicted a decline of the US as a superpower and the enpowerment of countries such as China and India. In 2009 Johan Galtung has predicted the fall […]

Science fiction, social science, or science? Political gaming, a longstanding tradition. Why did the FutureMap Program was abandonned? Predictions about WMDs. Predictions and technology: DARPA. An air strike against Iran by the end of 2001 (intrade)?